Most of the upcoming week looks to be pretty uneventful with the exception of Wednesday where the Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted a 15% chance of severe weather across parts of the Southern Plains in Kansas and Oklahoma. As for the severe weather outlook for today through Tuesday, there are only a few spots that have a risk for general non-severe thunderstorms and a few pockets of Marginal Risk (Level 1 out of 5) throughout the country. For a breakdown of what each Risk Level means, visit the Storm Prediction Center’s page by clicking here.







Wednesday, May 13 Severe Weather Outlook




Day 4 Severe Weather Outlook for May 13th



Storm Prediction Center’s Day 4 (May 13th) Outlook




Looking at the Storm Prediction Center’s written discussion for this day, the timing looks to be in the evening with supercells forming. All modes of severe weather are possible including tornadoes. The picture below is a “sounding” from a weather computer model. It is a snapshot of the atmosphere at a particular point in time above a selected place. This one is for Wednesday evening in Central Oklahoma. It shows a large amount of instability in the atmosphere that will help in storm formation. Wind profiles suggest that there is a threat for damaging winds and a few tornadoes. Timing and severity of the storms will be fine tuned in the severe weather outlook as we get closer to Wednesday. Always have plenty of ways to get your warnings. Be sure to include our Imminent Tornado Alerting Service (ITAS). Click here to learn more.




Weather Sounding for the Severe Weather Outlook




Sounding Created at




-Scott E.